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Do preference reversals generalise?:Results on ambiguity and loss aversion

机译:偏好冲销会泛化吗?:歧义和损失规避的结果

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摘要

Preference reversals are frequently observed in the lab, but almost all designs use completely transparent prospects, which are rarely features of decision making elsewhere. This raises questions of external validity. We test the robustness of the phenomenon to gambles that incorporate realistic ambiguity in both payoffs and probabilities. In addition, we test a recent explanation of preference reversals by loss aversion, which would also restrict the incidence of reversals outside the lab. According to this account, reversals occur largely because the valuation task endows subject with a gamble, activating loss aversion. This contrasts with the choice task, where the reference point is pre-experiment wealth. We test this explanation by holding the reference point constant. Our evidence suggests that reversals are only slightly diminished with ambiguity. We find no evidence supporting their explanation by loss aversion. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:偏好反转在实验室中经常被观察到,但是几乎所有设计都使用完全透明的前景,而这很少是其他地方决策的特征。这就提出了外部有效性的问题。我们对在收益和概率上都包含现实歧义的赌博测试了该现象的鲁棒性。此外,我们测试了最近通过损失厌恶对偏好逆转的解释,这也将限制实验室外逆转的发生率。根据此说明,发生冲销的主要原因是,评估任务使主体获得了赌注,从而引发了损失规避。这与选择任务相反,选择任务的参考点是实验前的财富。我们通过保持参考点恒定来测试这种解释。我们的证据表明,逆转仅因模棱两可而略有减少。我们发现没有证据支持通过损失规避来解释它们。 (C)2011 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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